What are the Yule-Walker equations?
The Yule-Walker equations are the building block of the linear AR model, connecting its parameters to the covariance function of the process. The model parameters are therefore estimated from the covariances of the time series. Forecasting can be considered by applying the resulting predictive model.
How do you show AR 2 is stationary?
1. The stationarity condition is: two solutions of x from φ(x) = 1−φ1x−φ2x2 = 0 are outside the unit circle. 2. Rewriting the AR(2) model, (1 − φ1L − φ2L2)yt = ϵt.
What is an AR 2 process?
An AR(1) autoregressive process is one in which the current value is based on the immediately preceding value, while an AR(2) process is one in which the current value is based on the previous two values. An AR(0) process is used for white noise and has no dependence between the terms.